Recent Developments in Econometric Modeling and Forecasting

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作者
Gang Li, Haiyan Song, Stephen F. Witt
摘要
Eighty-four post-1990 empirical studies of international tourism demand modeling and forecasting using econometric approaches are reviewed. New developments are identified, and it is shown that applications of advanced econometric methods improve the understanding of international tourism demand. An examination of the 22 studies that compare forecasting performance suggests that no single forecasting method can outperform the alternatives in all cases. The time-varying parameter (TVP) model and structural time-series model with causal variables, however, perform consistently well.
详细资料
- 文献种类: Journal Article
- 期刊名称: Journal of Travel Research
- 期刊缩写: JTR
- 期卷页: 2005年第44卷第1期 82-99页
- ISBN: 0047-2875
学科领域人文社科 » 旅游学
标签
ARCH
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